Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 189.970944 219.508482 253.104608 294.349686 343.897424 401.848059 475.260893
2025-09-21 148.203422 185.135924 231.315096 294.064626 378.298962 489.193751 649.161146
2025-09-28 125.150996 165.038012 218.351046 296.326423 410.054607 574.098810 836.718221
2025-10-05 114.282840 157.660857 218.991156 314.564510 464.549634 699.571724 1114.390563
2025-10-12 105.642872 151.399843 219.268267 331.022343 518.178544 834.390413 1445.987659
2025-10-19 94.579466 139.681285 209.177344 328.826813 540.222668 920.748848 1717.304948
2025-10-26 87.860765 133.530352 206.524275 337.769465 582.265550 1051.424814 2117.286409
2025-11-02 81.206866 126.531474 201.332545 341.105115 614.209670 1169.922552 2533.503524
2025-11-09 75.782208 120.835356 197.441571 345.878871 649.453805 1303.459572 3036.342959
2025-11-16 70.443881 114.640566 191.813945 346.315469 675.715597 1423.929597 3556.360061
2025-11-23 65.526825 108.630133 185.737984 344.817808 697.376551 1539.303067 4114.136850
2025-11-30 62.149779 104.994047 183.563018 350.777018 736.707339 1708.729039 4918.577624
2025-12-07 56.192330 96.466497 171.905488 336.825730 731.186271 1772.441210 5458.764379
2025-12-14 52.354393 91.558337 166.820212 336.601167 759.965725 1943.055653 6506.367692
2025-12-21 49.246952 87.695293 163.308185 339.270374 796.897375 2151.981266 7870.418523
2025-12-28 48.183548 87.668879 167.596035 360.735503 889.653704 2573.607541 10555.573839
2026-01-04 46.953758 87.158505 170.769743 380.139519 982.663630 3042.455214 14031.649134
2026-01-11 44.096173 83.022441 165.545691 377.549116 1010.081255 3289.625399 16603.887169
2026-01-18 42.458625 81.262996 165.388746 388.103699 1081.720025 3746.084733 21168.867629
2026-01-25 40.501750 78.630368 162.918912 392.042983 1133.400502 4150.749425 26085.722770
2026-02-01 38.812147 76.415282 161.161079 397.682837 1193.039312 4628.252165 32571.169261
2026-02-08 36.954189 73.659438 157.800151 398.198777 1235.058863 5051.070510 39566.625447
2026-02-15 35.120014 70.798163 153.872784 396.429042 1268.574797 5455.876273 47483.276917